Beyond the Numbers: Why Non-Financial Data Belongs at the Core of Investment Analysis
The risks that destroyed the most value over the last decade did not first appear in financial statements. They appeared earlier — in supply chains, in geopolitical dependencies, in deteriorating infrastructure, and in data few investors were measuring.
The risk factor today, the constraint tomorrow
The AI infrastructure cycle is being friced as a question of scale. More chips, more data centers, more power. That framing assumes that inputs expand linearly with capital — that if the demand is there, the supply will follow. It is the assumption that has governed technology cycles for decades.
When price stops working
The most dangerous assumption in commodity investing is that scarcity resolves through price.
Persian Gulf Tensions and the oil price premium
Geopolitical risk in energy markets is rarely a surprise. What the market consistently underestimates is its persistence.